Prediction Updated: Sunday April 13, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Lightweight
Islam Makhachev 75 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Lightweight
Grant Dawson 25 |
| RATINGS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 99 | Performance | 99 | A+ |
| A+ | 99 | Power | 96 | A |
|
A+
|
99
|
Offensive |
98
|
A+
|
|
A+
|
99
|
Defensive |
94
|
A
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Performance | 2 |
| 1 | Power | 8 |
| 1 | Offensive | 3 |
| 1 | Defensive | 13 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16-1 (94.1%) | Overall | 11-1 (91.7%) |
| 4-0 (100%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 0-0 (0%) |
| 15-1 (93.8%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 10-1 (90.9%) |
| 1-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 1-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Last 5 Fights | 4-1 (80%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lightweight #4 Arman Tsarukyan (8-2) 2019-04-20 UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik Round 3 U-DEC | Best Win | Featherweight #18 Julian Erosa (9-6) 2019-03-09 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos Round 3 U-DEC |
| Islam Makhachev has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. | Worst Loss | Lightweight #22 Bobby Green (13-9) 2023-10-07 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green Round 1 KO/TKO Punch |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 11 (64.7%) | Finishes | 6 (50%) |
| 3 (17.6%) | KOs | 2 (16.7%) |
| 8 (47.1%) | Submissions | 4 (33.3%) |
| 5 (29.4%) | Decisions | 5 (41.7%) |
| 187-100 | Opponent Record | 74-53 |
| 18.6 | Average Opponent Rank | 42.2 |
| W 15 | Long Streak | W 8 |
| W 15 | Current Streak | W 3 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2025-01-18 Lightweight #18 Renato Moicano (12-6) Round 1 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
W 2025-01-18 Lightweight #34 Diego Ferreira (10-6) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
|
| W 2024-06-01 Lightweight #24 Dustin Poirier (22-8) Round 5 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
W 2024-10-12 Lightweight #43 Rafa Garcia (4-4) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira |
|
| W 2023-10-21 Lightweight #6 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Kick UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 |
W 2024-06-01 Lightweight #61 Joe Solecki (5-4) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
|
| W 2023-02-11 Lightweight #6 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski |
L 2023-10-07 Lightweight #22 Bobby Green (13-9) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
|
| W 2022-10-22 Lightweight #7 Charles Oliveira (23-10) Round 2 SUB Arm Triangle UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
W 2023-07-01 Lightweight #30 Damir Ismagulov (5-1) Round 3 U-DEC UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |